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The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 85.8%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 14.2%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 85.8%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 10.5%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 67.5%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22%.Ukraine plans to hold a contact group meeting to discuss ending the war through diplomatic means. On December 9, local time, Ukrainian Presidential Press Secretary Nichiforov said that Ukraine plans to hold a contact group meeting in December to discuss the common position of ending the war through diplomatic means. Nichiforov said that the list of contact groups is still being worked out. Ukrainian President Zelensky said on the 8th that the members of the Contact Group may include Germany, France, Britain, Italy, Poland, Denmark and other countries.Israel attacked Hezbollah in Syria, calling it a serious violation of Syria's sovereignty. Hezbollah in Lebanon issued a statement on the night of the 9th local time, condemning Israel's attack on Syria. The statement said that Israel's further occupation of the Golan Heights and its attack on Syria's national defense capability are serious violations of Syria's sovereignty and will further undermine Syria's stability. The statement accused Israel of fabricating false reasons for its attack, and called on the international community, especially the Arab world, to take a unified stand and exert pressure in various fields to stop Israel's aggression.

The FTSE A50 index closed up 0.84% at 14,188 points in a row.At the beginning of the session in Sydney, Australia, on December 10th, Rio Tinto recorded its biggest intraday gain in recent 21 months, Pilbara Mining rose 8.4% to record its best intraday performance in three months, and Latin Resources rose 10%, which was also the biggest intraday gain in three months.On December 9, the top 20 US stock turnover: Apple hit a record high, with a market value exceeding 3.7 trillion US dollars. On Monday, Apple, the fifth US stock turnover, closed up 1.61%, and its share price reached a record high, with a turnover of 10.425 billion US dollars and a market value of about 3.73 trillion US dollars. It is reported that by 2025, a quarter of Apple's iPhone will be produced outside China, and India will become the most likely production base. As a fast-growing market, India has hundreds of millions of potential customers, and Samsung and China brands have launched fierce competition here. According to market research firm IDC, the average price of smartphones in India has risen from $192 in the third quarter of 2020 to $293 in the same period of 2024. Apple's market share increased by nearly 60% from the third quarter of 2023 to 2024, which was partly due to its launch of the old iPhone which was more close to the people. (Global Market Broadcast)

The market generally expects that the central bank will still have the probability of cutting interest rates in 2025, and the market generally expects that the central bank will still have the probability of cutting interest rates in 2025, and the yield of government bonds in the next 10 years will drop to around 1.8%. Therefore, the "rush to run" behavior of institutions is more obvious, and the yield of 10-year government bonds fell below 2%, challenging 1.9%. From the perspective of many institutions in 2025, the central bank will continue to cut interest rates. Many institutions believe that in this context, the yield of 10-year government bonds will also fall to around 1.8%. (SSE)Bitcoin futures fell by about 5%, once falling below $95,000, and cryptocurrency concept stocks generally fell. At the end of Monday (December 9) in new york, the main contract of CME Bitcoin futures BTC was reported at $97,485.00, which was 4.83% lower than that at the end of last Friday in new york. It was in a downward state all day and continued to fluctuate downwards, and once plunged to $94,640.00 at 05: 00 Beijing time (after the US stock market closed). The main contract of CME ethereum futures DCR was reported at $3,731.50, down 8.36% from last Friday, and it also fell to $3,498.50 at 05:05.Turkey will reopen the Ya 'Ilada 'e port on the Turkish-Syrian border. On the 9th, Turkish President Erdogan said that his country will reopen the Ya 'Ilada 'e border port in Hatay province in the southeast, which is adjacent to Syria, so as to facilitate Syrian refugees in Turkey to return home.